It is about automakers dealing with upcoming problems. Here are some key snippets from it:
There is a huge elephant in the room, two of them actually, that no one talks about.
One of them is that Oil is in decline. “Peak Oil” it is called. The amount of oil we can pull from the ground is declining. Natural gas is also getting scarce. Did you know pesticides come from oil, and fertilizer comes from natural gas? The US is having a natural gas shortage, although luckily, the world is not. Should we start importing fertilizer with our already lopsided trade deficit?
The point is, resources are infinite. As we have increased how efficiently we can produce food, the population of the world has gone up. More people equals more usage to finite resources. Think of the difference between using oil to power our cars, and ethanol. Oil is pumped from the ground at little cost, refined, and shipped to gas stations. The alternative, it seems, is to plant crops, use fertilizer made from natural gas, use pesticides made from oil to keep our production efficiency high, and then transport the crops to ethanol plants to make gas.
Fossil fuels are like batteries. There is a huge amount of energy stored inside a gallon of oil. There is not that much energy stored in a gallon bucket filled with corn. It takes a lot of energy to get that gallon bucket of corn, but not so much to get a gallon of oil.
Oil is easy, crops, corn, sugar cane, it does not matter - none of them are as easy as oil. This is why oil is used over other sources of energy. It is easy to obtain and use, so it is cheaper. As oil gets more expensive, people think ‘oh yay, now we can use solar and wind energy.’
This will mean that we, as a nation, or world, will become poorer. Think about rising gas prices - it makes everyone a little bit less wealthy than they were 10 years ago when gas was cheap. It used to cost $1.50 to move a 3000 pound vehicle 20 miles. Now it costs $3+. If we use electric cars, and it costs about $3-4 this helps the environment, but we are still less wealthy than we were when oil and gas were cheap. Spread this concept over the entire world, and we all get a little bit poorer.
Is this bad? Not really, but it is something to think about. The world has become ‘wealthier’ because we are more efficient than we were 20, 30, 100 years ago. We can perform the same tasks with less labor and time needed. This wealth was brought about by having cheap, easy energy. Those days are over, and technology can only get us so far. Will we invent a new space age plastic to make cars lighter and increase fuel mileage? Plastic that uses oil, a finite resource? We can’t move back to metals or wood, since the population has increased we have to import wood as it is (if you think the US does not import rain forest wood, you are sadly mistaken), what happens when plastic toys get expensive? Go back to wood? Metal? Scrap aluminum is already high in price, and metals are also a finite resource. Hell there is a shortage of SILICON for christ’s sake. How will we use our computers to design and invent new ways to help us when we are running out of silicon to make computer chips with?
The second elephant is population. Unfortunately, people having more than two kids are dooming my children’s future, your future, and your kid’s future. My children will likely not have the option of having 3 or 4 kids. My wife and I thought about a third child (we have two) but I doubt we will, and I think that if oil shortages start happening, more and more people will start to talk about the fact that our world simply cannot, and will not, sustain all of the people it has on it. Peak Oil, Global Warming, take your pick (I still cling to the theory that Global Warming is a cover for Peak Oil) either way, the days of cheap energy are over. Which is really saying ‘the days of easy wealth are over’. What was life like before fossil fuels? Harsh. The only hope my children have of a good life, I think, are if the world gets educated and realizes that our population needs to decrease, not increase. One child per couple anyone?
An economist would laugh at you for saying this. A decrease in population would be disastrous to our economy. It is like we are on a huge train going 100 mph and accelerating faster every year, and if we even slow down, it will derail. Amazing.
Recycling only delays the inevitable. The only limitless resource is solar, wind, and water energy. We should have been building solar arrays 40 years ago, but the oh so great Capitalist system is unfortunately *reactionary*, and it is its greatest flaw. We are only looking at solar power after oil climbs in price. Only our government could force changes, give incentives, subsidies, etc. to force change early, and unfortunately our oil companies and lobbyists ensured that did not happen. When people cannot drive to work because there is no gas, will we find the CEO of Exxonmobil and drag him into the streets I wonder? Hard to say. People will be pissed though. Think gas shortages are impossible? Read the article, it talks about oil shortages. China is not the only reason oil is climbing in price, it is also that oil is in decline and people in the know realize it, and are driving up the price buying oil futures.
So if the Seattle Times is talking about oil shortages… hmmm… it seems convenient that the most powerful army in the world is situated in the country with the 5th largest oil reserves in the world. How convenient. Look at this list.
Of the top 8 nations, all of them were our ally except three in 2000. Iraq, Iran, and Venezuela. What are the countries most talked about as trouble makers in the media again? What country did we invade?
If the train goes 100 mph slows down, people like Bush, Cheney, Gore, and the Clintons all get poorer. Gotta make sure the trains run on time…
If you start doing some reading about Peak Oil, natural gas shortages, and how much we rely on fossil fuels for much much more than gasoline and electricity, you will never look at pictures like this one the same ever again. Most people see beauty, I now see a whole lotta people needing a shitload of fossil fuels to exist. What will all those people do? What will any of us do?
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