The author of the article I linked above is an economist and “has written on issues of political economy, geopolitics, energy, agriculture, WTO, IMF, politics and economics for more than 30 years, beginning with the first oil shock and world grain crisis in the early 1970s.” He is the author of “A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics and the New World Order.”
I point this out because what he says is controversial.
He claims that Bush and Co. have deliberately caused this problem. Here are some key pieces from his article (which is long and detailed, and sometimes hard to follow)
- today’s oil prices are really determined is done by a process so opaque only a handful of major oil trading banks, such as Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley, have any idea who is buying and who is selling oil futures or derivative contracts that set physical oil prices in this strange new world of “paper oil”.
- Since the advent of oil futures trading and the two major London and New York oil futures contracts, control of oil prices has left the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and gone to Wall Street
- a gaping loophole in US government regulation of oil derivatives trading so huge a herd of elephants could walk through it
- (A US Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations report states:) Until recently, US energy futures were traded exclusively on regulated exchanges within the United States, like the NYMEX, which are subject to extensive oversight by the CFTC, including ongoing monitoring to detect and prevent price manipulation or fraud. In recent years, however, there has been a tremendous growth in the trading of contracts that look and are structured just like futures contracts, but which are traded on unregulated OTC [over the counter] electronic markets. Because of their similarity to futures contracts they are often called “futures look-alikes”.
- He also states the “Commodity Futures Trading Commission, a financial futures regulator” is not doing its job - limiting trades to keep important commodities stable.
- Then, apparently to make sure the way was opened really wide to potential market oil price manipulation, in January 2006, the George W Bush administration’s CFTC permitted the ICE, the leading operator of electronic energy exchanges, to use its trading terminals in the United States for the trading of US crude oil futures on the ICE futures exchange in London - called “ICE Futures”.
- in January 2006, ICE Futures in London began trading a futures contract for WTI crude oil, a type of crude oil that is produced and delivered in the United States
Loopholes, seemingly minor changes, inaction by the CFTC, and finally Bush hammering the nail in the coffin. And the result is, according to Engdahl:
Is that not elegant? The US government energy futures regulator, CFTC, opened the way to the present unregulated and highly opaque oil futures speculation.
(Emphasis is mine)
And here is the real rub. Ready?
Lets move to this article from - amazingly - an environmental website. This site proposes that we do not need to drill in environmentally protected areas, because US oil and gas companies hold perpetual leases on Federal lands that they are not developing. It cites this House Natural Resources Staff Committee Report. The highlights of this report?
If we extrapolate from today’s production rates on federal land and waters, we can estimate that the 68 million acres of leased but currently inactive federal land and waters could produce an additional 4.8 million barrels of oil and 44.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas each day.
That would nearly double total U.S. oil production, and increase natural gas production by 75%. It would also cut U.S. oil imports by more than a third, and be more than six times the estimated peak production from the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR).
To me, this is explosive. The oil and gas they are talking about is on Federal land already leased to the oil and gas companies - NOT wildlife preserves or other environmentally protected areas. Yet why does Bush and the rest of the Republican parrots (sorry, I voted for Ron Paul, but most Republicans just parrots. *Squawk* Environmenalists are keeping us from ANWR *Squawk* Nuclear power will save us *Squawk*)
Anyway, why is ANWR all over the news, yet this report gets no press? Unfortunately, I do not think many people know. What is funny is that even the ANWR.org page pushes for more oil exploration! This made me chuckle: “there is a 95% chance that a ’super field’ with 500 million barrels would be discovered. DOI also estimates that there exists a mean of 3.5 billion barrels, and a 5% chance that a large Prudhoe Bay type discovery would be made.”
The US uses 21 million barrels of oil a day. 500 million barrels would last us… 24 days. 3.5 Billion would last us less than 6 months. The phrase ’super field’ sounds impressive though, doesn’t it?
Something is afoot. Why is everyone pushing to get into ANWR when there is six times the resources available right on land already set aside for gas prices? Why are these lands not developed if oil prices are supposedly due to lack of supply?
I don’t have the answer, but the results seem to benefit a Republican Oil Man, which Bush definitely is. The public is starting to push to drill in an environmentally protected area, Democrats are looking like the reason gas prices continue to rise (”Why won’t the democrats just let us drill in ANWR, Glenn Beck said it would solve the problem!!!”), and oil companies are reaping record breaking profits.
I doubt few people know now, or will ever know, the whole truth, but my month is on speculation causing the price increases. Too bad this won’t help me pay my heating bill this winter…
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